Education: Does It Pay?
Canadian data on post-secondary earnings, student debt, and real return on investment β by credential, by field, and by province. Plus: who controls the system, and who's accountable for the costs.
Avg. bachelor's debt
$28,000
at graduation
Grads with student debt
49%
of all PSE grads
Trades shortage (2034)
250,000
projected unfilled jobs
Grads working in field
62%
university (2 yrs after)
No PSE β median earnings
$38,500
Baseline for all comparisons
Avg. years to repay debt
9.5 yrs
Student loan debt
Trades β employment rate
84%
Working in their trade
Trades avg. journeyperson
$72,000
Median annual earnings
Median Earnings by Credential β 5 Years After Graduation
Statistics Canada National Graduates Survey 2018, updated with 2021 Census income data
No Post-Secondary
No study required
Trades / Apprenticeship
2 years of study
College Certificate (1-year)
1 years of study
College Diploma (2-year)
2 years of study
Bachelor's Degree (4-year)
4 years of study
Master's Degree
6 years of study
PhD / Doctorate
10 years of study
Professional Degree (MD/JD/MBA)
7 years of study
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Who Is Responsible?
Education costs, student debt, and labour market outcomes are not accidents β they are the direct result of policy choices made by identifiable public servants.
Provincial Ministries of Colleges and Universities
Set tuition frameworks, grant per-student funding. Ontario tuition frozen 2019β2022, then raised 5%/yr.
β Minister of Colleges and Universities
Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC)
Canada Student Loan Program, Canada Student Grant ($3,000/yr for low-income), interest-free loans since 2023, Red Seal trades program.
β Minister of Employment, Workforce Development and Disability Inclusion
Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC)
International student volumes β 1M+ study permits issued 2023, driving up housing costs and competition in part-time job markets used by domestic students.
β Minister of Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship
Key Policy Issues
- βOntario university tuition is among Canada's highest despite a 3-year freeze (2019β2022) β now rising again
- βQuebec students pay 70% less tuition than Ontario students for the same education
- βOSAP provides grants only to households under ~$175,000; middle-income families receive little support
- β250,000 skilled trades positions projected to go unfilled by 2034 β a workforce planning failure
- βFederal immigration targets created record international student enrollment without proportional housing or support infrastructure
Sources
β’ Statistics Canada. National Graduates Survey (NGS) 2018. Table 37-10-0112-01.
β’ Statistics Canada. Census 2021. T1 Family File (T1FF) earnings by highest certificate.
β’ Statistics Canada. Tuition and Living Accommodation Costs (TLAC) 2025-26. Table 37-10-0003-01.
β’ Government of Canada. Canada Student Loan Program (CSLP) Annual Report 2023-24.
β’ Canadian Apprenticeship Forum. Apprenticeship in Canada β The Apprentice Advantage, 2024.
β’ RBC Economics. Powering Up: Canada's Trades Advantage, 2023.
β’ Statistics Canada. Projected demand for skilled trades labour, 2025-2034.